Ôðàíöèÿ. Ñìîòðèì íà 24-ûé òóð.

Ëèîí – Ëàíñ

Öåíòðàëüíûé ìàò÷ òóðà. Ëèîí, îñíîâíîé çàäà÷åé êîòîðîãî ÿâëÿåòñÿ âûèãðûø â Ëèãå ×åìïèîíîâ. Ëèäåð óæå îñòóïèëñÿ â ïîñëåäíåì òóðå ñ Ñåäàíîì. Ñîãëàñèòñÿ ëè ãðàíä óïóñòèòü åùå î÷êè? Íàâåðíî íåò, èáî Îñåð íàñòóïàåò íà ïÿòêè è, äóìàþ, ãîòîâ âîñïîëüçîâàòüñÿ ëþáîé îñå÷êîé ëèäåðà.

Ïîêàçàòåëü                                Ëèîí                                Ëàíñ

Ðåéòèíã íà êîíåö 23 òóðà                          2454                                            2233

Ñðåäíÿÿ ñèëà ïî 11-òè èãðîêàì                55,64                                          42,82

Ñðåäíÿÿ ñèëà ïî 16-òè èãðîêàì                52,12                                          40,25

Ñûãðàííîñòü                                               0(0%)                                         3330 (+12,5%)

Äèñêâàëèôèêàöèè (â ñêîáêàõ - ñèëà)       -                                                  ÖÇ Ñàíêàðå(43)

Ôèçà < 90 (â ñêîáêàõ - ñèëà)                     ËÏ Äåìî (32)                             ÖÏ Áåéáë (42)
                                                                     ËÔ Ôîíòåí (44)

Ðåçóëüòàòû ïîñëåäíèõ 5 èãð

â ÷åìïèîíàòå                                            +3=1-1                                        +2=1-2

Ïðîãíîç                                                                                        75-20-5

 

Íàíò – Îëèìïèê

Åùå îäíà î÷åíü èíòåðåñíàÿ âñòðå÷à. Ôåíîìåíàëüíî èãðàþùèé Íàíò ïðèíèìàåò âòîðóþ ïî ñèëå êîìàíäó ôðàíöóçñêîé ëèãè. Ó êàíàðååê åñòü øàíñ äîãíàòü ìàðñåëüöåâ. Ãîñòè æå ïîñëåäíèå èãðû ïðîâîäÿò î÷åíü ñèëüíî, íî ó èì åùå ïðåäñòîèò èãðà â Ë×. Òàê ÷òî óâåðåííî ïðåäñêàçàòü èñõîä ìàò÷à òðóäíî.

Ïîêàçàòåëü                                Íàíò                                Îëèìïèê

Ðåéòèíã íà êîíåö 23 òóðà                          2213                                            2373

Ñðåäíÿÿ ñèëà ïî 11-òè èãðîêàì               33,82                                            47,64

Ñðåäíÿÿ ñèëà ïî 16-òè èãðîêàì               32,38                                            44,81

Ñûãðàííîñòü                                              189 (11,7%)                                 60 (+9,9%)

Äèñêâàëèôèêàöèè (â ñêîáêàõ - ñèëà)      ÖÔ Ñèòîíè (35)                           -

Ôèçà < 90 (â ñêîáêàõ - ñèëà)                     -                                                  ËÏ Ïàëîìáî (51)

Ðåçóëüòàòû ïîñëåäíèõ 5 èãð

 â ÷åìïèîíàòå                                           +3=1-1                                         +5=0-0

Ïðîãíîç                                                                                    10-30-60

 

Áîðäî – Ñåäàí

Ñåäàí â ïðîøëîì òóðå ñåíñàöèîííî îáûãðàë Ëèîí, ÷åì çàðàáîòàë íåìàëî ðåéòèíãîâûõ î÷êîâ. Áîðäî íå ìåíåå ñåíñàöèîííî ðàçãðîìèë Ëàíñ íà âûåçäå. Âïðî÷åì, Áîðäî òåïåðü èãðàåò äîìà, à Ñåäàí, ñîîòâåòñòâåííî, íà âûåçäå. Îòñþäà íàïðàøèâàåòñÿ âïîëíå î÷åâèäíûé âûâîä – òðåòüÿ ïî ñèëå êîìàíäà ëèãè äîëæíà äîìà âûèãðûâàòü ó ñåðåäíÿêà.

Ïîêàçàòåëü                                Áîðäî                                Ñåäàí

Ðåéòèíã íà êîíåö 23 òóðà                         2293                                                 2101

Ñðåäíÿÿ ñèëà ïî 11-òè èãðîêàì              47,27                                                 32,73

Ñðåäíÿÿ ñèëà ïî 16-òè èãðîêàì              44,06                                                 30,94

Ñûãðàííîñòü                                             0 (0%)                                               1078 (+12,4%)

Äèñêâàëèôèêàöèè (â ñêîáêàõ - ñèëà)     ÏÇ Àëèêàðòå (44)                            ËÏ Òèðàíè÷ (28)

Ôèçà < 90 (â ñêîáêàõ - ñèëà)                    -                                                        -

Ðåçóëüòàòû ïîñëåäíèõ 5 èãð

 â ÷åìïèîíàòå                                          +4=0-1                                              +4=1-0

Ïðîãíîç                                                                                      80-15-5

 

Ñåíò-Ýòüåí – Áàñòèÿ

 ïîñëåäíåì òóðå õîçÿåâà èãðàëè àâòîñîñòàâîì. Åñëè â ýòîò ðàç òàêîå æå ñëó÷èòñÿ, òî ïîáåäà Áàñòèè – äåëî ðåøåííîå.  ïîñëåäíèõ èãðàõ Ñåíò-Ýòüåí íå ìîæåò âûèãðàòü äîìà. Ãîñòè ïðèåäóò çà òðåìÿ î÷êàìè, êîòîðûå ïîìîãóò èì â áîðüáå çà ìåñòî â ìåæäóíàðîäíûõ êóáêàõ. Õîçÿåâà òîæå íå èìåþò ïðàâî òåðÿòü î÷êè, èáî èì íàäî îáåçîïàñèòü ñåáÿ îò âûëåòà èç ýëèòû.

Ïîêàçàòåëü                                Ñåíò-Ýòüåí                                Áàñòèÿ

Ðåéòèíã íà êîíåö 23 òóðà                          2023                                                          2162

Ñðåäíÿÿ ñèëà ïî 11-òè èãðîêàì                35,55                                                         38,73

Ñðåäíÿÿ ñèëà ïî 16-òè èãðîêàì                33,94                                                         36,44

Ñûãðàííîñòü                                               12 (4,3%)                                                  13 (+4,6%)

Äèñêâàëèôèêàöèè (â ñêîáêàõ - ñèëà)       ÖÏ Àññàäóðüÿí (29)                               ÏÇ Ìîðî (35)

                                                                                                                                       ÖÏ Ìàòèíãà (48)

                                                                                                                                       ÏÔ Àíäðå (41)

Ôèçà < 90 (â ñêîáêàõ - ñèëà)                     ÖÇ Êàðòåðîí (19)

                                                                     ÖÏ Ñàáëå (35)                                           -

Ðåçóëüòàòû ïîñëåäíèõ 5 èãð

â ÷åìïèîíàòå                                             +2=0-3                                                      +3=1-2

Ïðîãíîç                                                                                      30-40-30

 

Ëèëëü – Øàòîðó

Âñòðå÷àþòñÿ êîìàíäû, âåäóùèå áîðüáó çà âûæèâàíèå. Îòëè÷èå â òîì, ÷òî Ëèëëü âõîäèò â ãðóïïó àóòñàéäåðîâ, à Øàòîðó íàõîäèòñÿ â îïàñíîé áëèçîñòè îò ýòîé ãðóïïû. ßñíî, ÷òî áîðüáà ïðåäñòîèò îæåñòî÷åííîé. Ãîñòè íåïëîõî ïðîâåëè ïåðâóþ ïîëîâèíó ñåçîíà, íî âî âòîðîé ÷óòü ñáàâèëè. Ëèëëü îäèíàêîâî íåóäà÷íî ïðîâîäèò âåñü ñåçîí. Íà ñòîðîíå õîçÿåâ – ñèëà ñîñòàâà + õîçáîíóñ, íà ñòîðîíå ãîñòåé óäà÷à, òàêòèêà è ÷óòü ëó÷øàÿ ñûãðàííîñòü.

Ïîêàçàòåëü                                Ëèëëü                                Øàòîðó

Ðåéòèíã íà êîíåö 23 òóðà                         1976                                                  1994

Ñðåäíÿÿ ñèëà ïî 11-òè èãðîêàì               42,00                                                 36,55

Ñðåäíÿÿ ñèëà ïî 16-òè èãðîêàì               37,81                                                 34,56

Ñûãðàííîñòü                                              20 (6,2%)                                          47 (+9,3%)

Äèñêâàëèôèêàöèè (â ñêîáêàõ - ñèëà)     ÖÇ Ñèãàí (48)                                    ÖÏ Ìîðãàí (32)

                                                                    ÏÏ Òàôôîðý (44)

Ôèçà < 90 (â ñêîáêàõ - ñèëà)                    ÂÐ Âèìáå (40)

                                                                    ÏÇ Ôàõìè (44)                                   -

Ðåçóëüòàòû ïîñëåäíèõ 5 èãð

â ÷åìïèîíàòå                                            +1=1-3                                              +0=0-5

Ïðîãíîç                                                                                       25-55-20

 

Îñåð – Ðåíí

Íàáðàâøèé õîä Îñåð óæå ïðàêòè÷åñêè äîãíàë Ëèîí. Ðåíí æå ÷óâñòâóåò ïîñëåäñòâèå àâòîñîñòàâà. Äóìàþ, çäåñü âñ¸ ÿñíî. Îñåð ïîáåäèò, ñîìíåâàòüñÿ íå ïðèõîäèòüñÿ.

Ïîêàçàòåëü                                Îñåð                                Ðåíí

Ðåéòèíã íà êîíåö 23 òóðà                         2356                                              1902

Ñðåäíÿÿ ñèëà ïî 11-òè èãðîêàì              43,00                                              42,73

Ñðåäíÿÿ ñèëà ïî 16-òè èãðîêàì              40,19                                              39,81

Ñûãðàííîñòü                                             86 (10,7%)                                     1 (+0,4%)

Äèñêâàëèôèêàöèè (â ñêîáêàõ - ñèëà)     ËÏ ÌàêÍåâèí (39)

                                                                   ÖÏ Ëàóäðóï (43)                            -

Ôèçà < 90 (â ñêîáêàõ - ñèëà)                   ÖÇ Áëåéäåëèñ (41)                       ÂÐ Öóáåðáþëåð (52)

                                                                   ÖÔ Ãîíñàëåñ(30)                          ÖÔ Ïàõàðü (53)

                                                                                                                          ÖÇ Ïåñëå (39)

                                                                                                                          ÖÏ ×èæåê (50)

                                                                                                                          ÏÏ Äèäî (14)

Ðåçóëüòàòû ïîñëåäíèõ 5 èãð

â ÷åìïèîíàòå                                           +4=1-0                                           +0=0-5

Ïðîãíîç                                                                                       90-5-5

 

ÏÑÆ – Íàíñè

Ñòîëè÷íûé êëóá ñèëåí íûí÷å. Íå ñîñòàâîì, õîòÿ è îí ó íåãî íå ñëàáûé, à èãðîé Ñòàáèëüíî íàáèðàÿ î÷êè, ïàðèæàíå óâåðåííî ïðîáèðàþòñÿ ââåðõ ïî òóðíèðíîé òàáëèöå. Ãîñòè â ïîñëåäíåå âðåìÿ òîæå ñîáèðàþò òàê íåîáõîäèìûå èì î÷êè. È âñ¸-òàêè, â ýòîì ìàò÷å ïðåäïî÷òåíèå ÿâíî íà ñòîðîíå ÏÑÆ – ñ áîëüøîé óâåðåííîñòüþ ìîæíî ïðåäñêàçàòü ïîáåäó õîçÿåâ, õîòÿ æäàòü ñþðïðèçà îò Íàíñè òîæå ñòîèò.

Ïîêàçàòåëü                                ÏÑÆ                                Íàíñè

Ðåéòèíã íà êîíåö 23 òóðà                         2047                                              1939

Ñðåäíÿÿ ñèëà ïî 11-òè èãðîêàì              37,64                                              34,09

Ñðåäíÿÿ ñèëà ïî 16-òè èãðîêàì              34,19                                              31,75

Ñûãðàííîñòü                                             682 (12,3%)                                   128 (+11,3%)

Äèñêâàëèôèêàöèè (â ñêîáêàõ - ñèëà)     ÖÔ Ðîíàëüäèíüþ (33)                  -

Ôèçà < 90 (â ñêîáêàõ - ñèëà)                    -                                                     -

Ðåçóëüòàòû ïîñëåäíèõ 5 èãð

â ÷åìïèîíàòå                                           +1=1-3                                           +2=0-3

Ïðîãíîç                                                                                   65-10-25

 

Ìîíïåëüå – Ìåòö

Àóòñàéäåð ïðèíèìàåò ó ñåáÿ äðóãîãî àóòñàéäåðà. Áîðüáà çà âûæèâàíèå çàñòàâëÿåò öåïëÿòüñÿ çà êàæäûé ìàò÷. Õîçÿåâà íàêîíåö íà÷àëè ïîíåìíîãó íàáèðàòü î÷êè. Ìåòö æå èìååò ïðîáëåìû ñ ôèçîé ëèäåðîâ, íî óìóäðèëñÿ íàäûñü âûèãðàòü ó Íàíòà, ïðàâäà àâòîñîñòàâîì, íî òàì áûë îäèí èç ðåäêèõ ñëó÷àåâ, êîãäà ìåíåäæåð êàíàðååê äîïóñòèë îïëîøíîñòü ñ òàêòèêîé, è óäà÷à ÿâíî áûëà íå íà åãî ñòîðîíå. ×òî êàñàåòñÿ ãîñòåé, òî äàæå íåñìîòðÿ íà ïëîõóþ ôèçó îíè èìåþò î÷åíü ñèëüíûé ñîñòàâ – Áàòèêëü è ßãåð ÷åãî ñòîÿò! Ðàä, ÷òî îíè è Ï.Ä’Àìèêî íå â ôîðìå, òàê êàê ìíå î÷êè î÷åíü íóæíû. Òðóäíî ïðåäñêàçàòü èñõîä ìàò÷à.

Ïîêàçàòåëü                                Ìîíïåëüå                                Ìåòö

Ðåéòèíã íà êîíåö 23 òóðà                         1888                                                          2021

Ñðåäíÿÿ ñèëà ïî 11-òè èãðîêàì               37,00                                                        41,82

Ñðåäíÿÿ ñèëà ïî 16-òè èãðîêàì               33,50                                                        38,56

Ñûãðàííîñòü                                              84 (10,6%)                                               6 (+2,3%)

Äèñêâàëèôèêàöèè (â ñêîáêàõ - ñèëà)     ÖÔ Ñåðæèî (40)                                       -

Ôèçà < 90 (â ñêîáêàõ - ñèëà)                    ÖÏ Ñòèãññîí (26)                                    ÂÐ Ìàíäðàãîí (35)

                                                                                                                                     ÖÏ Ìåðñåð (38)

                                                                                                                                     ÖÏ Ï. Ä’Àìèêî (42)

                                                                                                                                     ÖÔ ßãåð (50)

                                                                                                                                     ÖÔ Áàòèêëü (52)

Ðåçóëüòàòû ïîñëåäíèõ 5 èãð

â ÷åìïèîíàòå                                            +1=1-3                                                      +1=0-4

Ïðîãíîç                                                                                           30-30-40

 

PS: Íàïèñàííîå âûøå - âñåãî ëèøü ìîå ëè÷íîå ñêðîìíîå ìíåíèå, ìåíåäæåðà êîìàíäû èäóùåé íà ïîñëåäíåì ìåñòå. J Åùå ñëåäóåò çàìåòèòü, ÷òî ñòàòüÿ ïèñàëàñü åùå äî ìàò÷åé Ë× è ýòî ìîæåò íåêîòîðûì îáðàçîì ïîâëèÿòü íà ðåçóëüòàòû.

 

PPS: Îëèìïèêó è Ëèîíó – óäà÷è â ïðåäñòîÿùèõ çàâòðà ëèãàõ. Ôðàíöèÿ ñ âàìè!

rusLAN, Ìîíïåëüå